Showing posts with label Premier League. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Premier League. Show all posts

Tuesday, 1 March 2011

Hammer Blow To The Reds


Right, so I've waited a while to sit back and let the dust settle before i got round to this. I've been saying for some weeks now that a 4th place finish was not going to happen, sure it mathematically possible - still is - but after the nightmare we had before Christmas we should be happy to take a 5/6th place finish and it is down to Kenny Dalglish and the way he has turned the club around that we were actually realistically aiming for 4th, but now it is more of a wild dream.

Firstly, Sundays game. Credit to West Ham for playing better than they normally do, but that was it, they played better, they never played the greatest game of football you will ever see, Scott Parker did not turn into Messi overnight although the way the commentators carried on you could be forgiven for thinking so - he did what he tends to do for West Ham, he gave them everything, it's not like we haven't seen him do it before, not like we won't see him do it again. West Ham Played well, Liverpool played bad, the result, we made them look better, whilst that in turn made us look worse then what we are. West Ham deserved the victory. There were still too many elements of their game that would have been vastly exploited by stronger more determined opposition - Liverpool were neither on the day. The attitude they displayed will give them  great chance of staying in the league but there are no guarantees.

As for Liverpool, well, the defeat was coming, no two ways about that. Following on from the victory at Chelsea performances have gone downhill, against Wigan we could have ended up losing, not the greatest display ever, then over two legs against Prague we gave the kind of displays that would have seen most of the premier league beat us with little effort, we didn't look up for it or interested and we got through only due to Prague's own lack of ambition and poor performances and it all led into the game against the Hammers. Have to say i didn't think it would be an easy game, the relegation battlers are never going to role over an take a hiding, but - i did think we would win, and, i thought this because following on from 3 poor showings i thought the team would recognise that a game against West Ham would be a good place to restore belief and get 3 points - didn't exactly go to plan.

The loss of Martin Kelly is a big one, no doubts about that. We all knew he had 'potential' but he never really got a proper chance until Dalglish threw him in against Utd and he quickly established himself as first choice right back for the club, ahead of England's own first choice right back, Glen Johnson, and that is something that deserves credit. What it does give us in terms of positives is an interesting dilemma. Who plays right back, and who plays left back, the obvious choice would be Johnson right back, Aurelio left back, or Johnson could stay left back, Carragher at right back, with the central positions being occupied by any of Agger, Soto or Skrtel. What i think will happen is a bit different. I think that Johnson will shift to right back, and Danny Wilson will take the left back role.

Now, there were a few who were quick to jump in and give Wilson criticism on Sunday, unfairly. He gave us two good, solid displays in the Europa League and he kept his place in the team on merit, he deserved it. Secondly it was a poor performance from the team all round, the midfield battle was non existent and as a result the defence came under increased pressure, and quite often he was left with no cover with Johnson playing more advanced he wasn't always eager to get back and help, which left Wilson exposed. He is only young and he will learn but he is not a bad defender by any definition. He has played numerous times for Rangers in the SPL and has also made Champions League appearances too. Now there are not many 19year old defenders who could claim to have done that. The criticism is premature and unjustified, had we decided to play as good as we can and controlled the midfield properly the defence would have been able to operate under less pressure, the team would have performed better and confidence would have improved all round, especially for a player making his first Premier League appearance and most of that spent at left back when he is predominantly a centre back - same as with Kelly on the right.

I've had a lot to say about Glen Johnson recently, still maintain that he is pretty much an average defender, nothing special at all, but in attacking positions he seems to come alive, and he is a real threat. Against West Ham he had (initially) more of an attacking role and he proved what i and other have been saying - he is a much better attacking winger than he is a defender and to be fair to him he had a good game, a full game in that attacking role would have reaped more positives but injuries and the resultant re-shaping can not be helped, although he did get the goal that on the balance of it his performance deserved. Lets hope he gets another crack in that more advanced role, would love to see him playing there more regular.

We were all annoyed at the defeat and there has been a lot of talk of 'perspective' since. One defeat in nine we are told, something to be pleased about - of course it is. On January first if you had given any Liverpool supporter the choice to be going into the Utd game on the back of a 9 game run that involved 5 wins, 3 draws and a solitary defeat i think they would have bitten your hand off, or laughed thinking it was a joke - lets be honest on January 1st it didn't exactly look likely to happen did it? But talk like this ignores the real perspective and that is that recently performances have been lacking and have gone downhill since the victory at Chelsea and if we are not careful and do not address this problem quickly we could fall out of contention for a Europa League place never mind 4th place - which we are pretty much out of.

In terms of performances we are not as fortunate as our next opponents who have been well off the boil this season yet are quite comfortably walking away with the title. The game against ManUtd is a big one, and form doesn't tend to count for much and as is always the case, the easiest thing to do is win the game, what we do after it is the hard part. A good performance and a good result will be meaningless if we do not follow it up. Earlier in the season we played Chelsea, we stepped it up, we won, and then results dipped afterwards, there was no springboard, again we have played Chelsea and results have dipped, we can not afford the same thing to happen after Sundays game.

We have 10 games left, 30points to play for, we really should be aiming to finish on a high, the target should be maximum points, realistically i would say that 24 would be acceptable, finishing with a total of 63 points which would have to guarantee us a top 6 finish and if all goes our way, Europa League football next season. In the League we have only personal pride left to play for this season, all we can do is finish as strongly as possible, but with games against Arsenal, Utd, City and Spurs all to come we might have some influence on the final positions of those above us.

For me though, our main target must now be the Europa League, we have a good chance of winning it too. I know a lot of people regard it as a second rate trophy that no one wants but after we had endured a rather barren and unsuccessfully uneventful period just over a decade ago, winning the UEFA cup in 2001 was seen as a huge triumph, and it would be a great boost to the club to claim the trophy especially as we haven't welcomed any silver wear home since 2006. And it would be a great way to cap off a season that started so badly, and looked to be getting worse only for the return of Kenny Dalglish. Wouldn't be bad either to start this decade as we did the last, although i wouldn't want another 5-4 final!

Bottom line though is that performances have to improve, if the team doesn't perform well, we don't get results, like i said, we are not ManUtd, we can not play poorly yet win every week as they do and the biggest mystery of this season is how they have actually managed to do it with what many regard as the worst Utd team in recent history.

Lets make Sunday a game they will wanna forget for years, just like that 1-4 at Old Trafford only this time the goblins can't leave after 80mins, their locked in til the very end.

Performances must improve.

Sunday, 13 February 2011

Fourth Too Far??


Can Liverpool Finish 4th this season?

In all honesty probably not. Last season was a poor season by the high standards we set before it, this season was always going to be a struggle as a result.

Before the season started most people would have said that our main objective was to get back in to the top 4, but no one realised back then what a struggle it would be to actually do that. Many saw last season as just a blip, something that could easily be corrected this year, but there were problems on the field and off it that not many people paid too much attention to.

When you replace a manager, it is usually because things aren't working out and the team is performing badly. Last season under Benitez Liverpool weren't as good as they could have been, they weren't as good when judged against the high standards that the team set in the previous seasons - it looked like we were on an upward curve and Premier League glory was a certainty last season. That never happened, things were bad, but they weren't catastrophic. OK we finished 7th, but we did also get to the Europa League semi finals. And last season there were signs of the competitiveness that would become glaringly apparent this season. Other clubs in the league were strengthening their squads - both with quality and depth - whilst we did not. There were 6/7 teams challenging for the top 4 places - it was tight. We finished 7th, we where minutes away from the Europa League final? And we got back into the competition this season. One truly bad season, and Rafa is gone.

Look at Villa this season, they failed to invest and build upon last season, they had to find a new manager after O'Neill jumped ship and they have struggled this season and the clubs owners have now had to spend money to help keep the club in the league - they are only 3 points above the drop. That highlights the importance of building on what you achieve - we did not build on what we achieved in the 2008/09 season and we struggled in the next.

The reality is that he was sacked to make the club look more attractive to potential buyers - it was well known that he was always at odds with the clubs hierarchy - but then again, weren't we all??

I always felt that replacing Rafa with Hodgson would be a step back - new manager, new ideas etc etc the rebuilding would have to start from scratch. The clubs problems off the field, which were intensifying at the time did not help, but Hodgson never really looked like a good choice. He had some money to spend, pretty much a full summer to work with the team, but he was always punching above his weight at the club.

The downward spiral continued into the new season, the Hicks and Gillet sideshow diverting most of the attention off the team, but once that sideshow ended all focus was on the team. The new owners stood by him but in the end they had to let Hodgson go - it really wasn't working out.

In steps Kenny Dalglish, and the team looks transformed. Viewed as relegation candidates in December by February we are seen as being in with a shout of 4th spot. The change is unbelievable - but ultimately i feel it is too little too late in our bid to return to Europe's elite competition. We have spent money and strengthened, we are on a great run, unbeaten in 6 games, but the rebuilding has only just got started.

Victory against Wigan would have kept hopes alive, and whilst there is still a faint hope, the prospect of Champions League football next season is unlikely. The two teams above Liverpool - Chelsea and Spurs - both have games in hand over us, if they were to both win these, they would both be on 50points, 11 points ahead of the reds having played the same number of games. And with 11 games left to play this season it would be extremely difficult to gatecrash the party so late on.

It is not impossible, after all, nothing really is. The maximum number of points that Liverpool can finish with is 72. Spurs and Chelsea can both finish with 83. So in order for us to finish above them both would have to drop 12 points whilst Liverpool would have to not only remain unbeaten, but win every single one of our last 11 games - now that really is a big ask.

Looking into it further does provide some optimism - SOME. Chelsea have to play ManUtd (twice), Spurs and ManCity, Everton would not be an easy game for them either. So there is 5 games that Chelsea could potentially lose, and it wouldn't really be much of a shock if they did. Spurs stand out games of the run in are ManCity, Chelsea and Liverpool, again fixtures that they could potentiality lose. Factor in some draws against clubs fighting for survival and there is a small chance.

Liverpool have games against ManUtd, ManCity, Arsenal and Spurs coming up - hate to say it, but they are games that we could potentially lose as well. Victory in those fixtures coupled with slip ups from the teams above us and no slip ups on our behalf and the possibility of a 4th place finish is still there - just unlikely.

This season i think we will just have to settle for a Europa League spot. We are still in that competition and we are definitely in with a shout of winning it too. But that is probably as good as it is going to get this season. And we will be well adjusted to the competition when we play in it next season.

This summer is vital in the clubs rebuilding process, all indications are that we are going to strengthen the squad in more areas than one and build up a good young side that can challenge for years to come. Kenny Dalglish is likely to be the manager to take us forward into this period, and with him in charge the team is undoubtedly in safe hands. Who knows what might have happened if he had got the job in the summer and not Roy Hodgson? Who knows what would have happened if Rafa had stayed in charge?? Both, arguably, would have done a better job than the man who did get the job.

Next season is the real challenge. It is our time to show the world what a strong and stable Liverpool Football Club can do. Not saying we will win the league or anything - wouldn't wanna get peoples hopes up - after all it is not our given right to win it, or so we're told. But we can definitely be competitive with the other top teams, we can definitely challenge in the League for a top 4 finish, we can definitely challenge in the domestic cups and in the Europa League - anything else would be a welcome and much deserved bonus.

We may well be on the verge of good times once again - the last 6 weeks in particular have been amazing considering what came before, but it is important that we remain realistic in our expectations. We all want Liverpool to be challenging for top honours on all fronts, we all expect Liverpool to win every game and to play the Liverpool way, but first we have to work hard to put ourselves in a position where we can 'realistically' achieve all this - and we are not far off, and it will only come with hard work, belief and determination.

A top 4 finish this season is as i said, unlikely. I do not believe that it was Kenny's main objective to break into the top 4 when he took over, to be honest i do not believe that it was an objective full stop. I believe his job was merely to stop the downward spiral, improve results, and obtain a respectable finish - probably ensure that we got into the Europa League next season. What he has done is give us renewed belief, he has taken us back to a time when we played good football, and there was nothing but smiles all around. He has us reminiscing over past glories and dreaming of future glories, the fact that we are talking about a top 4 finish full stop is testament to how far we have come in such a short space - not too long ago it was all about Liverpool's relegation fight, now even in the media the talk is about Liverpool's slim top 4 hopes.

We arrived at the party a bit too late for a place at Elite table, but our day will come again, soon. In the mean time we need to concentrate on finishing as high as we can and get behind the team all the way.

For me, i think that next season will be completely different to this season, i think we could well be back on the upward curve once again - no one will write us off so easily next season.